A Synthetic Forecast Engine for Wind Power Prediction

被引:0
|
作者
Nurmanova, Venera [1 ]
Bagheri, Mehdi [1 ]
Abedinia, Oveis [2 ]
Sobhani, Behrouz [3 ]
Ghadimi, Noradin [4 ]
Naderi, Moahammad S. [5 ]
机构
[1] Nazarbayev Univ, Elect & Comp Engn Dept, Astana, Kazakhstan
[2] Budapest Univ Technol & Econ, Elect Power Engn Dept, Budapest, Hungary
[3] Elect Distribut Co Ardabil, Ardebil, Iran
[4] Islamic Azad Univ, Ardabil Branch, Young Researchers & Elite Club, Ardebil, Iran
[5] IAU, Tehran North Branch, ECE Dept, Tehran, Iran
关键词
Wind power; Feature selection; Synthetic forecast engine; Wavelet Transform; NEURAL-NETWORK; ELECTRICITY PRICE; HYBRID ARIMA; LOAD; MODEL;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Due to rapid growth of the wind power generation, this green energy becomes crucial in all over the globe. However, high volatility and non-convex behavior of this energy makes different problems in power system planning and operation. Hence, an accurate prediction method is required to addressing this specified issue. This study, provides a new forecasting approach based on new hybrid wavelet transform, feature selection as well as synthetic forecasting engine. The proposed engine includes three parallel blocks of NN (denoting the neural-network), radial basis function NN as well as the SVM (support vector machine). The optimal values for all the forecasting engine variables are obtained using a meta-heuristic optimization method. Effectiveness of recommended prediction approach is applied on New England wind farm test case and compared with other strategies. Generated numerical results proof the validity of suggested approach.
引用
收藏
页码:732 / 737
页数:6
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