A Synthetic Forecast Engine for Wind Power Prediction

被引:0
|
作者
Nurmanova, Venera [1 ]
Bagheri, Mehdi [1 ]
Abedinia, Oveis [2 ]
Sobhani, Behrouz [3 ]
Ghadimi, Noradin [4 ]
Naderi, Moahammad S. [5 ]
机构
[1] Nazarbayev Univ, Elect & Comp Engn Dept, Astana, Kazakhstan
[2] Budapest Univ Technol & Econ, Elect Power Engn Dept, Budapest, Hungary
[3] Elect Distribut Co Ardabil, Ardebil, Iran
[4] Islamic Azad Univ, Ardabil Branch, Young Researchers & Elite Club, Ardebil, Iran
[5] IAU, Tehran North Branch, ECE Dept, Tehran, Iran
关键词
Wind power; Feature selection; Synthetic forecast engine; Wavelet Transform; NEURAL-NETWORK; ELECTRICITY PRICE; HYBRID ARIMA; LOAD; MODEL;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
X [环境科学、安全科学];
学科分类号
08 ; 0830 ;
摘要
Due to rapid growth of the wind power generation, this green energy becomes crucial in all over the globe. However, high volatility and non-convex behavior of this energy makes different problems in power system planning and operation. Hence, an accurate prediction method is required to addressing this specified issue. This study, provides a new forecasting approach based on new hybrid wavelet transform, feature selection as well as synthetic forecasting engine. The proposed engine includes three parallel blocks of NN (denoting the neural-network), radial basis function NN as well as the SVM (support vector machine). The optimal values for all the forecasting engine variables are obtained using a meta-heuristic optimization method. Effectiveness of recommended prediction approach is applied on New England wind farm test case and compared with other strategies. Generated numerical results proof the validity of suggested approach.
引用
收藏
页码:732 / 737
页数:6
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Estimating the System Costs of Wind Power Forecast Uncertainty
    Cardell, J. B.
    Anderson, C. L.
    [J]. 2009 IEEE POWER & ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING, VOLS 1-8, 2009, : 885 - +
  • [42] Hybrid Model for Hourly Forecast of Photovoltaic and Wind Power
    Duong Minh Quan
    Ogliari, Emanuele
    Grimaccia, Francesco
    Leva, Sonia
    Mussetta, Marco
    [J]. 2013 IEEE INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON FUZZY SYSTEMS (FUZZ - IEEE 2013), 2013,
  • [43] A novel genetic LSTM model for wind power forecast
    Shahid, Farah
    Zameer, Aneela
    Muneeb, Muhammad
    [J]. ENERGY, 2021, 223
  • [44] Application of Data Mining Methods for Power Forecast of Wind Power Plants
    Arnoldt, Alexander
    Koenig, Stefan
    Mikut, Ralf
    Bretschneider, Peter
    [J]. 9TH INTERNATIONAL WORKSHOP ON LARGE-SCALE INTEGRATION OF WIND POWER INTO POWER SYSTEMS AS WELL AS ON TRANSMISSION NETWORKS FOR OFFSHORE WIND POWER PLANTS, 2010, : 655 - 660
  • [45] Modeling of spatial dependence in wind power forecast uncertainty
    Papaefthymiou, George
    Pinson, Pierre
    [J]. 2008 10TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON PROBABILISTIC METHODS APPLIED TO POWER SYSTEMS, 2008, : 9 - +
  • [46] Short time ahead wind power production forecast
    Sapronova, Alla
    Meissner, Catherine
    Mana, Matteo
    [J]. WINDEUROPE SUMMIT 2016, 2016, 749
  • [47] PROBABILISTIC WIND POWER FORECASTING USING A SINGLE FORECAST
    Qadrdan, Meysam
    Ghodsi, Mansoureh
    Wu, Jianzhong
    [J]. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENERGY AND STATISTICS, 2013, 1 (02) : 99 - 111
  • [48] UTILITY OPERATING STRATEGY AND REQUIREMENTS FOR WIND POWER FORECAST
    DUB, W
    PAPE, H
    [J]. JOURNAL OF ENERGY, 1983, 7 (03): : 231 - 236
  • [49] Conditional probabilistic modeling of wind power forecast error
    Ye, Yida
    Lu, Zongxiang
    Qiao, Ying
    Ye, Xi
    Hu, Wei
    Wang, Ruoyang
    Wu, Linlin
    [J]. 2016 IEEE POWER AND ENERGY SOCIETY GENERAL MEETING (PESGM), 2016,
  • [50] Wind power plants hybridised with solar power: A generation forecast perspective
    Couto, Antonio
    Estanqueiro, Ana
    [J]. JOURNAL OF CLEANER PRODUCTION, 2023, 423