Real Option Analysis on Coal-to-oil Project

被引:3
|
作者
Teng Yingyue [2 ]
Han Liping [1 ]
Li Changqing [1 ]
Zhao Hongmei [1 ]
机构
[1] Inner Mongolia Univ Technol, Sch Management, Inner Mongolia 010051, Peoples R China
[2] Inner Mongolia Univ Technol, Sch Chem Engn, Inner Mongolia 010051, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Coal-to-liquid Project; Real Options; Operation value; The value of waiting to invest;
D O I
10.1016/j.egypro.2011.03.009
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
As Coal-to-liquid project is in face of lot uncertainties largely due to the wide fluctuation of oil industry, it is unable to evaluate this project accurately via the traditional NPV analysis method. The paper tries to apply real options analysis approach to evaluate this Coal-to-liquid project, simulate the fluctuation of oil price by a designed software and also compare the operating value and the value of waiting to invest in this Coal-to-liquid project. (C) 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Selection and peer-review under responsibility of RIUDS
引用
收藏
页码:48 / 52
页数:5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Real option application in PPP/PFI project negotiation
    Liu, Jicai
    Cheah, Charles Y. J.
    CONSTRUCTION MANAGEMENT AND ECONOMICS, 2009, 27 (04) : 331 - 342
  • [32] A real option approach for valuating a venture capital project
    Dong, YH
    Ren, GY
    Xia, J
    PROCEEDINGS OF 2002 INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON MANAGEMENT SCIENCE & ENGINEERING, VOLS I AND II, 2002, : 1648 - 1652
  • [33] A real option analysis on retiring existing coal-fired electricity plants in the United States
    Kang, Sang Baum
    Letourneau, Pascal
    Sala, Steve X.
    JOURNAL OF ENERGY MARKETS, 2018, 11 (04) : 75 - 93
  • [34] The research on application of real option theory on investment decision of real estate project
    Liu, YM
    Lu, CB
    Proceedings of the 2005 International Conference on Management Science and Engineering, 2005, : 1097 - 1102
  • [35] On Economic Evaluation of Real Estate Development Project Using Real Option Approach
    Pan Haiying
    PROCEEDINGS OF 2009 CONFERENCE ON SYSTEMS SCIENCE, MANAGEMENT SCIENCE & SYSTEM DYNAMICS, VOL 5, 2009, : 117 - 123
  • [36] Real option model analysis in tax project under international carbon tax coordination mechanism
    Yi, Xiazi
    Wang, Zhen
    MANUFACTURE ENGINEERING AND ENVIRONMENT ENGINEERING, VOLS 1 AND 2, 2014, 84 : 1133 - 1138
  • [37] Infrastructure Project Investment Decision Timing Using a Real Options Analysis Framework with Rainbow Option
    Siripongvakin, Jatupol
    Athigakunagorn, Nathee
    ASCE-ASME JOURNAL OF RISK AND UNCERTAINTY IN ENGINEERING SYSTEMS PART A-CIVIL ENGINEERING, 2020, 6 (03)
  • [38] Application of Real Option Method for Pricing Venture Investment Project
    Wu, JianHua
    NINTH WUHAN INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON E-BUSINESS, VOLS I-III, 2010, : 1231 - 1243
  • [39] Application Research on Real Option to Hydropower Project Investment Decision
    Jin Zhenhui
    Feng xiaoling
    Xu Limin
    Xu Liu
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE 15TH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON INDUSTRIAL ENGINEERING AND ENGINEERING MANAGEMENT, VOLS A-C, 2008, : 1533 - 1536
  • [40] An analytical theory of project investment: a comparison with real option theory
    Chen, Jing
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF MANAGERIAL FINANCE, 2006, 2 (04) : 354 - +