Real Option Analysis on Coal-to-oil Project

被引:3
|
作者
Teng Yingyue [2 ]
Han Liping [1 ]
Li Changqing [1 ]
Zhao Hongmei [1 ]
机构
[1] Inner Mongolia Univ Technol, Sch Management, Inner Mongolia 010051, Peoples R China
[2] Inner Mongolia Univ Technol, Sch Chem Engn, Inner Mongolia 010051, Peoples R China
基金
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词
Coal-to-liquid Project; Real Options; Operation value; The value of waiting to invest;
D O I
10.1016/j.egypro.2011.03.009
中图分类号
TE [石油、天然气工业]; TK [能源与动力工程];
学科分类号
0807 ; 0820 ;
摘要
As Coal-to-liquid project is in face of lot uncertainties largely due to the wide fluctuation of oil industry, it is unable to evaluate this project accurately via the traditional NPV analysis method. The paper tries to apply real options analysis approach to evaluate this Coal-to-liquid project, simulate the fluctuation of oil price by a designed software and also compare the operating value and the value of waiting to invest in this Coal-to-liquid project. (C) 2011 Published by Elsevier Ltd. Selection and peer-review under responsibility of RIUDS
引用
收藏
页码:48 / 52
页数:5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Real Option in Urban Rapid Rail Transit PPP Project
    Wang, Chao
    Liang, Wei
    Wang, Shouqing
    ADVANCES IN TRANSPORTATION, PTS 1 AND 2, 2014, 505-506 : 437 - 442
  • [42] How real option disinvestment flexibility augments project NPV
    Keswani, A
    Shackleton, MB
    EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH, 2006, 168 (01) : 240 - 252
  • [43] Oil price volatility: A real option valuation approach in an African oil field
    Fonseca, Marcelo Nunes
    Pamplona, Edson de Oliveira
    de Mello Valerio, Victor Eduardo
    Aquila, Giancarlo
    Souza Rocha, Luiz Celio
    Rotela Junior, Paulo
    JOURNAL OF PETROLEUM SCIENCE AND ENGINEERING, 2017, 150 : 297 - 304
  • [44] Is it still economic to build a new coal-fired power plant in the US? A real option analysis
    Kang, Sang Baum
    Letourneau, Pascal
    Sala, Steven X.
    APPLIED ECONOMICS LETTERS, 2019, 26 (09) : 736 - 740
  • [45] Valuing an offshore oil exploration and production project through real options analysis
    Guedes, Jose
    Santos, Pedro
    ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2016, 60 : 377 - 386
  • [46] Real option analysis of a technology portfolio
    Hilli, Petri
    Kallio, Maarit
    Kallio, Markku
    REVIEW OF FINANCIAL ECONOMICS, 2007, 16 (02) : 127 - 147
  • [47] THE PROTOTYPE COMMERCIAL COAL OIL COPROCESSING PROJECT IN OHIO
    SHANNON, RH
    SIXTH ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL PITTSBURGH COAL CONFERENCE, VOLS 1 & 2, 1989, : 656 - 669
  • [48] The Analysis of Patent Option for RDA Project Valuation
    Senjuntichai, Angsumalin
    Techanitisawad, Anulark
    Luong, Huynh Trung
    JOURNAL OF ADVANCED MECHANICAL DESIGN SYSTEMS AND MANUFACTURING, 2010, 4 (03): : 683 - 700
  • [49] Reducing Overcapacity in China’s Coal Industry: A Real Option Approach
    Wei Wu
    Boqiang Lin
    Computational Economics, 2020, 55 : 1073 - 1093
  • [50] Reducing Overcapacity in China's Coal Industry: A Real Option Approach
    Wu, Wei
    Lin, Boqiang
    COMPUTATIONAL ECONOMICS, 2020, 55 (04) : 1073 - 1093