Causal inference with multiple time series: principles and problems

被引:80
|
作者
Eichler, Michael [1 ]
机构
[1] Maastricht Univ, Dept Quantitat Econ, NL-6200 MD Maastricht, Netherlands
关键词
causal identification; Granger causality; causal effect; spurious causality; latent variables; impulse response function; GRANGER CAUSALITY; EFFECTIVE CONNECTIVITY; INFORMATION-FLOW; DIAGRAMS; SYSTEMS; NETWORK;
D O I
10.1098/rsta.2011.0613
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
I review the use of the concept of Granger causality for causal inference from time-series data. First, I give a theoretical justification by relating the concept to other theoretical causality measures. Second, I outline possible problems with spurious causality and approaches to tackle these problems. Finally, I sketch an identification algorithm that learns causal time-series structures in the presence of latent variables. The description of the algorithm is nontechnical and thus accessible to applied scientists who are interested in adopting the method.
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收藏
页数:17
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