Causal inference with multiple time series: principles and problems

被引:80
|
作者
Eichler, Michael [1 ]
机构
[1] Maastricht Univ, Dept Quantitat Econ, NL-6200 MD Maastricht, Netherlands
关键词
causal identification; Granger causality; causal effect; spurious causality; latent variables; impulse response function; GRANGER CAUSALITY; EFFECTIVE CONNECTIVITY; INFORMATION-FLOW; DIAGRAMS; SYSTEMS; NETWORK;
D O I
10.1098/rsta.2011.0613
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
I review the use of the concept of Granger causality for causal inference from time-series data. First, I give a theoretical justification by relating the concept to other theoretical causality measures. Second, I outline possible problems with spurious causality and approaches to tackle these problems. Finally, I sketch an identification algorithm that learns causal time-series structures in the presence of latent variables. The description of the algorithm is nontechnical and thus accessible to applied scientists who are interested in adopting the method.
引用
收藏
页数:17
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