A measure of the bullwhip effect in supply chains with stochastic lead time

被引：32
|
作者：
Duc, Truong Ton Hien [1 ]
Luong, Huynh Trung [2 ]
Kim, Yeong-Dae [1 ]
机构：
[1] Korea Adv Inst Sci & Technol, Dept Ind Engn, Taejon 305701, South Korea
[2] Asian Inst Technol, Sch Engn & Technol, Ind Syst Engn Program, Klongluang 12120, Pathumthani, Thailand
来源：
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ADVANCED MANUFACTURING TECHNOLOGY | 2008年 / 38卷 / 11-12期
关键词：
supply chain; bullwhip effect; autoregressive model; mixed autoregressive-moving average model; base stock policy; stochastic lead time;
D O I：
10.1007/s00170-007-1170-1
中图分类号：
TP [自动化技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号：
0812 ;
摘要：
In this paper, we exactly quantify the bullwhip effect, the variance amplification in replenishment orders, for cases of stochastic demand and stochastic lead time in a simple two-stage supply chain with one supplier and one retailer. In most of the previous research, the impact of order lead time on the bullwhip effect in supply chains with pre-specified demand processes is investigated mostly for cases of deterministic lead time. In this paper, we deal with a first-order autoregressive, AR(1), demand process and investigate the behavior of a measure for the bullwhip effect with respect to autoregressive coefficient and stochastic order lead time. Extension to a mixed first-order autoregressive-moving average, ARMA(1,1), demand process is also considered.
引用
收藏
页码：1201 / 1212
页数：12
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