Some models and procedures for space-time point processes

被引:0
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作者
David Vere-Jones
机构
[1] Victoria University and Statistical Research Associates,
[2] Ltd.,undefined
关键词
Earthquake models; Forest-fire models; Space-time processes; Pointprocess prediction; Second moments;
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摘要
A common element in modelling forest fires and earthquakes is the need to develop space-time point process models that can be used to quantify the evolving risk from forest fires (or earthquakes) as a function of time, location, and background factors. This paper is intended as an introduction to space-time point process modelling. It includes brief summaries of the most relevant point process properties, starting from the description and estimation of first and second order moment properties, proceeding to a description of conditional intensity or dynamic models, and ending with an introduction to some of the models and estimation procedures which are currently being used in seismology. A short final section contrasts the modelling problems for seismology and for forest fires.
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页码:173 / 195
页数:22
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