Relation of Uncertainty in Fluctuations of Energy Commodity Demand and Prices to Forecasting Timeframe

被引:0
|
作者
Mazurova O.V. [1 ]
机构
[1] Melent’ev Energy Systems Institute, Siberian Branch, Russian Academy of Sciences, Irkutsk
基金
俄罗斯基础研究基金会;
关键词
D O I
10.1134/S1075700718020090
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Several Russian and foreign forecasts of energy industry development have been analyzed that were made in various years for up to 20–25 years. The extent and type of temporal variations in uncertainty ranges of forecast indexes in Russia and worldwide have been studied. The indexes include fluctuations of energy commodity prices, electricity and fuel production and consumption, etc. The calculated data have been given. The relations of uncertainty ranges of different indexes to the change in the considered timeframe have been constructed. © 2018, Pleiades Publishing, Ltd.
引用
收藏
页码:161 / 166
页数:5
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] EFFECT OF CHANGING ENERGY PRICES ON COMMODITY PRICES AND FARM INCOME
    SHORT, C
    ENGLISH, BC
    HEADY, EO
    [J]. AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS, 1984, 14 (02) : 107 - 116
  • [42] Tail risks of energy transition metal prices for commodity prices
    Reboredo, Juan C.
    Ugolini, Andrea
    Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier
    [J]. RESOURCES POLICY, 2024, 93
  • [43] Filtering and forecasting commodity futures prices under an HMM framework
    Date, Paresh
    Mamon, Rogemar
    Tenyakov, Anton
    [J]. ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2013, 40 : 1001 - 1013
  • [44] Forecasting agricultural commodity prices using hybrid neural networks
    Shahwan, Tamer
    Odening, Martin
    [J]. COMPUTATIONAL INTELLIGENCE IN ECONOMICS AND FINANCE, VOL II, 2007, : 63 - +
  • [45] A combination method for interval forecasting of agricultural commodity futures prices
    Xiong, Tao
    Li, Chongguang
    Bao, Yukun
    Hu, Zhongyi
    Zhang, Lu
    [J]. KNOWLEDGE-BASED SYSTEMS, 2015, 77 : 92 - 102
  • [46] Frontiers: News Event-Driven Forecasting of Commodity Prices
    Chakraborty, Sunandan
    Jagabathula, Srikanth
    Subramanian, Lakshminarayanan
    Venkataraman, Ashwin
    [J]. M&SOM-MANUFACTURING & SERVICE OPERATIONS MANAGEMENT, 2024, 26 (04) : 1286 - 1305
  • [47] Forecasting agricultural commodity prices using hybrid neural networks
    Shahwan, T
    Odening, M
    [J]. PROCEEDINGS OF THE 8TH JOINT CONFERENCE ON INFORMATION SCIENCES, VOLS 1-3, 2005, : 1021 - 1026
  • [48] Volatility forecasting in commodity markets using macro uncertainty
    Bakas, Dimitrios
    Triantafyllou, Athanasios
    [J]. ENERGY ECONOMICS, 2019, 81 : 79 - 94
  • [49] Forecasting energy product prices
    Malliaris, ME
    Malliaris, SG
    [J]. Proceedings of the International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN), Vols 1-5, 2005, : 3284 - 3289
  • [50] Nonlinearity in forecasting energy commodity prices: Evidence from a focused time-delayed neural network
    Bouteska, Ahmed
    Hajek, Petr
    Fisher, Ben
    Abedin, Mohammad Zoynul
    [J]. RESEARCH IN INTERNATIONAL BUSINESS AND FINANCE, 2023, 64