Asymmetric GARCH;
integer-valued;
maximum likelihood;
Poisson;
D O I:
10.1111/jtsa.12605
中图分类号:
O1 [数学];
学科分类号:
0701 ;
070101 ;
摘要:
We propose a GARCH model for uncorrelated, integer-valued time series that exhibit conditional heteroskedasticity. Conditioned on past information, these observations have a two-sided Poisson distribution with time-varying variance. Positive and negative observations can have an asymmetric impact on conditional variance. We give conditions under which the proposed integer-valued GARCH process is stationary, ergodic, and has finite moments. We consider maximum likelihood estimation for model parameters, and we give the limiting distribution for these estimators when the true parameter vector is in the interior of its parameter space, and when some GARCH coefficients are zero.
机构:
Jilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun 130012, Peoples R ChinaJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun 130012, Peoples R China
Zhu, Fukang
Shi, Lei
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机构:
Yunnan Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Stat & Math, Kunming 650221, Peoples R China
Yunnan TongChuang Sci Computat & Data Min Ctr, Kunming 650221, Peoples R ChinaJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun 130012, Peoples R China
Shi, Lei
Liu, Shuangzhe
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机构:
Univ Canberra, Fac Educ Sci Technol & Math, Canberra, ACT 2601, AustraliaJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun 130012, Peoples R China