Estimation and testing for the integer-valued threshold autoregressive models based on negative binomial thinning
被引:11
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作者:
Wang, Xiaohong
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机构:
Jilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China
Jilin Normal Univ, Coll Math, Siping, Jilin, Peoples R ChinaJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China
Wang, Xiaohong
[1
,2
]
Wang, Dehui
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机构:
Jilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R ChinaJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China
Wang, Dehui
[1
]
Yang, Kai
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Changchun Univ Technol, Sch Math & Stat, Changchun 130012, Jilin, Peoples R ChinaJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China
Yang, Kai
[3
]
Xu, Da
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机构:
Jilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R ChinaJilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China
Xu, Da
[1
]
机构:
[1] Jilin Univ, Sch Math, Changchun, Jilin, Peoples R China
[2] Jilin Normal Univ, Coll Math, Siping, Jilin, Peoples R China
[3] Changchun Univ Technol, Sch Math & Stat, Changchun 130012, Jilin, Peoples R China
To better describe the characteristics of time series of counts such as overdispersion or structural change, in this paper, we redefines the integer-valued threshold autoregressive models based on negative binomial thinning (NBTINAR(1)) under a weaker condition that the expectation of the innovations is finite. Parameters' point estimation and interval estimation problems are considered. A method to test the nonlinearity of the data is provided. As an illustration, we conduct a simulation study and empirical analysis of Pittsburgh crime data sets.