Climate-Change Adaptations in Land-Use Planning; A Scenario-Based Approach

Socio-economic and climatic changes are expected to alter the current land-use patterns in the Netherlands. In order to study these uncertain developments and propose adaptation and mitigation strategies to cope with the possible changes in the physical and societal environment a set of future scenarios is developed. These scenarios integrate possible socio-economic and climatic changes and are used in the Land Use Scanner model to simulate future land-use patterns. Based on these simulations sector-specific adaptation and mitigation measures are developed in related research projects as will be described in this paper.