The effect on competition of banking sector consolidation following the financial crisis of 2008

被引:24
|
作者
Perez Montes, Carlos [1 ]
机构
[1] Banco Espana, Financial Stabil Dept, Madrid 28014, Spain
关键词
Mortgage; Banking Crisis; Sector consolidation; GMM; Mixed-logit; Counterfactual analysis; MARKET-STRUCTURE; HORIZONTAL MERGERS; EFFICIENCY; INDUSTRY; MODELS; IMPACT; PERFORMANCE; SIMULATION; BORROWERS; PRICES;
D O I
10.1016/j.jbankfin.2014.03.004
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Consolidation of the Spanish banking sector after the financial crisis of 2008 raises concerns about potential negative effects on competition. I use structural econometric methods to examine these anti-competitive concerns in the Spanish mortgage market. I estimate a mixed-logit model of mortgage demand and recover bank-level cost information with a strategic model of price competition. Counterfactual experiments reveal that the observed increase in concentration is associated only with small variations in mortgage rates and market shares, staying far from collusive levels. This moderate change in industry conduct implies a small direct effect of consolidation on bank exposures to mortgage risk. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:124 / 136
页数:13
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