Decision making with imprecise probabilistic information

被引:37
|
作者
Gajdos, T
Tallon, JM
Vergnaud, JC
机构
[1] Univ Paris 01, CNRS, EUREQua, F-75647 Paris 13, France
[2] CNRS, CREST, F-75700 Paris, France
[3] ICER, F-75700 Paris, France
关键词
uncertainty; decision; multiple priors;
D O I
10.1016/j.jmateco.2003.06.004
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We develop an axiomatic approach to decision under uncertainty that explicitly takes into account the information available to the decision maker. The information is described by a set of priors and a reference prior. We define a notion of imprecision for this informational setting and show that a decision maker who is averse to information imprecision maximizes the minimum expected utility computed with respect to a subset of the set of initially given priors. The extent to which this set is reduced can be seen as a measure of imprecision aversion. This approach thus allows a lot of flexibility in modelling the decision maker attitude towards imprecision. In contrast, applying Gilboa and Schmeidler [J. Math. Econ. 18 (1989) 141] maxmin criterion to the initial set of priors amounts to assuming extreme pessimism. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
引用
下载
收藏
页码:647 / 681
页数:35
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] A Novel Decision-Making Method Based on Probabilistic Linguistic Information
    Liu, Peide
    Li, Ying
    COGNITIVE COMPUTATION, 2019, 11 (05) : 735 - 747
  • [42] Multiple attribute decision analysis with imprecise information
    Yoon, Kwangsun
    Kim, Gyutai
    IIE Transactions (Institute of Industrial Engineers), 1989, 21 (01): : 21 - 26
  • [43] A Parallel between Regret Theory and Outranking Methods for Multicriteria Decision Making Under Imprecise Information
    Gül Özerol
    Esra Karasakal
    Theory and Decision, 2008, 65 : 45 - 70
  • [44] A parallel between regret theory and outranking methods for multicriteria decision making under imprecise information
    Ozerol, Gul
    Karasakal, Esra
    THEORY AND DECISION, 2008, 65 (01) : 45 - 70
  • [46] Computational Framework for the Method of Decision Making with Imprecise Probabilities
    Musayev, A. F.
    Alizadeh, A. V.
    Guirimov, B. G.
    Huseynov, O. H.
    2009 FIFTH INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON SOFT COMPUTING, COMPUTING WITH WORDS AND PERCEPTIONS IN SYSTEM ANALYSIS, DECISION AND CONTROL, 2010, : 258 - +
  • [47] Decision making under uncertainty using imprecise probabilities
    Troffaes, Matthias C.M.
    International Journal of Approximate Reasoning, 2007, 45 (01): : 17 - 29
  • [48] DECISION MAKING AND PROBABILISTIC PROGRAMMING
    SPIVEY, WA
    IMR-INDUSTRIAL MANAGEMENT REVIEW, 1968, 9 (02): : 57 - 67
  • [49] Decision Making with Second-Order Imprecise Probabilities
    Aliev, Rafik
    Pedrycz, W.
    Zeinalova, L. M.
    Huseynov, O. H.
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS, 2014, 29 (02) : 137 - 160
  • [50] Decision making under uncertainty using imprecise probabilities
    Troffaes, Matthias C. M.
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF APPROXIMATE REASONING, 2007, 45 (01) : 17 - 29