A model to predict impervious surface for regional and municipal land use planning purposes

被引：13

作者：

Reilly, J ^{[1
]}

Maggio, P ^{[1
]}

Karp, S ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Maryland Dept Planning, Baltimore, MD 21201 USA

来源：

ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACT ASSESSMENT REVIEW | 2004年 / 24卷 / 03期

关键词：

ecological planning; water quality; regional planning; watershed management;

D O I：

10.1016/j.eiar.2003.10.022

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The area of impervious surface in a watershed is a forcing variable in many hydrologic models and has been proposed as a policy variable surrogate for water quality. We report a new statistical model which will allow land use planners to estimate impervious surface given minimal, readily available information about future growth. Our model is suitable for master planning purposes. In more urbanized areas, it tends to produce quite accurate forecasts. However, in less developed, more rural places, forecast error will increase. (C) 2003 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

引用

页码：363 / 382

页数：20

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