The application of improved Markov Chain Monte Carlo method in liquidity management of commercial banks

被引:0
|
作者
Liu, Ning [1 ]
Liu, Jing [1 ]
Huang, Qi [2 ]
机构
[1] Shandong Univ Finance & Econ, Sch Int Econ & Trade, Jinan 250014, Peoples R China
[2] Shandong Univ, Sch Econ, Jinan, Peoples R China
关键词
Asymmetric stochastic volatility model; MCMC estimation; FFBS algorithm; STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY; BAYESIAN-ANALYSIS; LEVERAGE; SAMPLER; MODELS;
D O I
10.3233/IFS-131096
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
This paper proposes an improved Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimation method. First, it introduces improved Markov Chain Monte Carlo estimation method, then uses extended Kalman filter to approximate the nonlinear transfer equation, and ultimately completes the estimation of the redefined asymmetric SV model combining with the forward filtering and backward sampling algorithm. The experimental results indicate that the new algorithm has a faster convergence rate. Finally, this improved MCMC method of asymmetric SV model is applied to the liquidity management of commercial banks. The fitting results not only illustrate its efficiency and accuracy, but also show the empirical evidence of leverage effect.
引用
收藏
页码:1285 / 1296
页数:12
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