Sexual behaviour patterns in South Africa and their association with the spread of HIV: Insights from a mathematical model

被引：59
|
作者：
Johnson, Leigh F. [1 ]
Dorrington, Rob E. [1 ]
Bradshaw, Debbie
Pillay-Van Wyk, Victoria
Rehle, Thomas M.
机构：
[1] Univ Cape Town, Ctr Actuarial Res, ZA-7701 Rondebosch, South Africa
来源：
DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH | 2009年 / 21卷
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA; TRANSMITTED-DISEASE TRANSMISSION; HUMAN-IMMUNODEFICIENCY-VIRUS; CONDOM USE; RISK BEHAVIOR; HETEROSEXUAL TRANSMISSION; CONCURRENT PARTNERSHIPS; DISCORDANT COUPLES; MOMENT CLOSURE; INFECTION;
D O I：
10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.11
中图分类号：
C921 [人口统计学];
学科分类号：
摘要：
This paper aims to quantify the effects of different types of sexual risk behaviour on the spread of HIV in South Africa. A mathematical model is developed to simulate changes in numbers of sexual partners, changes in marital status, changes in commercial sex activity, and changes in the frequency of unprotected sex over the life course. This is extended to allow for the transmission of HIV, and the model is fitted to South African HIV prevalence data and sexual behaviour data. Results suggest that concurrent partnerships and other non-spousal partnerships are major drivers of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in South Africa.
引用
收藏
页码：289 / 339
页数：51
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [21] A Model for HIV Spread in a South African Village
    Alam, Shah Jamal
    Meyer, Ruth
    Norling, Emma
    MULTI-AGENT-BASED SIMULATION IX, 2009, 5269 : 33 - 45
  • [22] The Spread of HIV/AIDS: a priority risk factor in South Africa
    Ansari, R. M.
    ASIA PACIFIC JOURNAL OF HEALTH MANAGEMENT, 2009, 4 (02): : 31 - 38
  • [23] Social Representations of HIV/AIDS in Johannesburg, South Africa and Their Bearing on Risk-taking Sexual Behaviour
    Howard-Payne, Lynlee
    JOURNAL OF CREATIVE COMMUNICATIONS, 2010, 5 (02) : 105 - 117
  • [24] HIV/AIDS impact on parenting behaviour in South Africa
    Lachman, Jamie
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF PSYCHOLOGY, 2012, 47 : 107 - 108
  • [25] Childhood sexual abuse and HIV sexual-risk behaviour among men who have sex with men in South Africa
    Heusser, Shelley
    Elkonin, Diane
    SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF PSYCHOLOGY, 2014, 44 (01) : 83 - 96
  • [26] Sexual behaviour of women in rural South Africa: a descriptive study
    Dubbink, Jan Henk
    van der Eem, Lisette
    McIntyre, James A.
    Mbambazela, Nontembeko
    Jobson, Geoffrey A.
    Ouburg, Sander
    Morre, Servaas A.
    Struthers, Helen E.
    Peters, Remco P. H.
    BMC PUBLIC HEALTH, 2016, 16
  • [27] Sexual behaviour of women in rural South Africa: a descriptive study
    Jan Henk Dubbink
    Lisette van der Eem
    James A. McIntyre
    Nontembeko Mbambazela
    Geoffrey A. Jobson
    Sander Ouburg
    Servaas A. Morre
    Helen E. Struthers
    Remco P. H. Peters
    BMC Public Health, 16
  • [28] A quantitative assessment of the consistency of projections from five mathematical models of the HIV epidemic in South Africa: a model comparison study
    Moolla, Haroon
    Phillips, Andrew
    ten Brink, Debra
    Mudimu, Edinah
    Stover, John
    Bansi-Matharu, Loveleen
    Martin-Hughes, Rowan
    Wulan, Nisaa
    Cambiano, Valentina
    Smith, Jennifer
    Bershteyn, Anna
    Meyer-Rath, Gesine
    Jamieson, Lise
    Johnson, Leigh F.
    BMC PUBLIC HEALTH, 2023, 23 (01)
  • [29] A quantitative assessment of the consistency of projections from five mathematical models of the HIV epidemic in South Africa: a model comparison study
    Haroon Moolla
    Andrew Phillips
    Debra ten Brink
    Edinah Mudimu
    John Stover
    Loveleen Bansi-Matharu
    Rowan Martin-Hughes
    Nisaa Wulan
    Valentina Cambiano
    Jennifer Smith
    Anna Bershteyn
    Gesine Meyer-Rath
    Lise Jamieson
    Leigh F. Johnson
    BMC Public Health, 23
  • [30] Association of HIV prevalence and concurrency of sexual partnerships in South Africa's language groups: An ecological analysis
    Kenyon, C.
    SOUTHERN AFRICAN JOURNAL OF HIV MEDICINE, 2013, 14 (01) : 25 - 28
12345