Sexual behaviour patterns in South Africa and their association with the spread of HIV: Insights from a mathematical model

被引：59
|
作者：
Johnson, Leigh F. [1 ]
Dorrington, Rob E. [1 ]
Bradshaw, Debbie
Pillay-Van Wyk, Victoria
Rehle, Thomas M.
机构：
[1] Univ Cape Town, Ctr Actuarial Res, ZA-7701 Rondebosch, South Africa
来源：
DEMOGRAPHIC RESEARCH | 2009年 / 21卷
基金：
中国国家自然科学基金;
关键词：
SUB-SAHARAN AFRICA; TRANSMITTED-DISEASE TRANSMISSION; HUMAN-IMMUNODEFICIENCY-VIRUS; CONDOM USE; RISK BEHAVIOR; HETEROSEXUAL TRANSMISSION; CONCURRENT PARTNERSHIPS; DISCORDANT COUPLES; MOMENT CLOSURE; INFECTION;
D O I：
10.4054/DemRes.2009.21.11
中图分类号：
C921 [人口统计学];
学科分类号：
摘要：
This paper aims to quantify the effects of different types of sexual risk behaviour on the spread of HIV in South Africa. A mathematical model is developed to simulate changes in numbers of sexual partners, changes in marital status, changes in commercial sex activity, and changes in the frequency of unprotected sex over the life course. This is extended to allow for the transmission of HIV, and the model is fitted to South African HIV prevalence data and sexual behaviour data. Results suggest that concurrent partnerships and other non-spousal partnerships are major drivers of the HIV/AIDS epidemic in South Africa.
引用
收藏
页码：289 / 339
页数：51
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Modelling the HIV/AIDS epidemic trends in South Africa: Insights from a simple mathematical model
    Nyabadza, F.
    Mukandavire, Z.
    Hove-Musekwa, S. D.
    NONLINEAR ANALYSIS-REAL WORLD APPLICATIONS, 2011, 12 (04) : 2091 - 2104
  • [2] Poverty, risky sexual behaviour, and vulnerability to HIV infection: Evidence from South Africa
    Booysen, FL
    Summerton, J
    JOURNAL OF HEALTH POPULATION AND NUTRITION, 2002, 20 (04) : 285 - 288
  • [3] The association between school attendance, HIV infection and sexual behaviour among young people in rural South Africa
    Hargreaves, J. R.
    Morison, L. A.
    Kim, J. C.
    Bonell, C. P.
    Porter, J. D. H.
    Watts, C.
    Busza, J.
    Phetla, G.
    Pronyk, P. M.
    JOURNAL OF EPIDEMIOLOGY AND COMMUNITY HEALTH, 2008, 62 (02) : 113 - 119
  • [4] Family and sexual behaviour in South Africa
    Sherwood-Martin, Hollie
    LANCET INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2024, 24 (06): : 260 - 260
  • [5] Sexual risk behaviour among the youth in the era of HIV/AIDS in South Africa
    Zambuko, O
    Mturi, AJ
    JOURNAL OF BIOSOCIAL SCIENCE, 2005, 37 (05) : 569 - 584
  • [6] HIV risk and recent sexual behaviour of older adults in rural South Africa
    Williams, J.
    Gomez-Olive, F. X.
    Angotti, N.
    Kabudula, C.
    Menken, J.
    Clark, S.
    Klipstein-Grobusch, K.
    Tollman, S.
    JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL AIDS SOCIETY, 2012, 15 : 184 - 185
  • [7] Migration, sexual behaviour, and HIV risk: a general population cohort in rural South Africa
    McGrath, Nuala
    Eaton, Jeffrey W.
    Newell, Marie-Louise
    Hosegood, Victoria
    LANCET HIV, 2015, 2 (06): : E252 - E259
  • [8] New insights into HIV epidemic in South Africa: key findings from the National HIV Prevalence, Incidence and Behaviour Survey, 2012
    Zuma, Khangelani
    Shisana, Olive
    Rehle, Thomas M.
    Simbayi, Leickness C.
    Jooste, Sean
    Zungu, Nompumelelo
    Labadarios, Demetre
    Onoya, Dorina
    Evans, Meredith
    Moyo, Sizulu
    Abdullah, Fareed
    AJAR-AFRICAN JOURNAL OF AIDS RESEARCH, 2016, 15 (01): : 67 - 75
  • [9] South Africa to redouble efforts to control the spread of HIV
    Baleta, A
    LANCET, 1999, 354 (9181): : 844 - 844
  • [10] Sexual power and HIV risk, South Africa
    Pettifor, AE
    Measham, DM
    Rees, HV
    Padian, NS
    EMERGING INFECTIOUS DISEASES, 2004, 10 (11) : 1996 - 2004
12345