A Solution to the Cable Guy Paradox

被引：0
|
作者：
Weintraub, Ruth [1 ]
机构：
[1] Tel Aviv Univ, Philosohy Dept, IL-69978 Tel Aviv, Israel
来源：
ERKENNTNIS | 2009年 / 71卷 / 03期
关键词：
Utility Function; Actual World; Open Interval; Subjective Probability; Future Preference;
D O I：
10.1007/s10670-009-9186-6
中图分类号：
B [哲学、宗教];
学科分类号：
01 ; 0101 ;
摘要：
The Cable Guy will definitely come between 8 a.m. and 4 p.m., and I can bet on one of two possibilities: that he will arrive between 8 and 12, or between 12 and 4. Since I have no more information, it seems (eminently) plausible to suppose the two bets are equally attractive. Yet Hajek has presented a tantalising argument that purports to show that the later interval is, initial appearances to the contrary, more choice worthy. In this paper, I rebut the argument.
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页码：355 / 359
页数：5
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