Comments on "Evidence for global runoff increase related to climate warming" by Labat et al.

被引:49
|
作者
Legates, DR [1 ]
Lins, HF
McCabe, GJ
机构
[1] Univ Delaware, Ctr Climate Res, Newark, DE 19716 USA
[2] US Geol Survey, Reston, VA 20192 USA
[3] US Geol Survey, Denver, CO 80225 USA
关键词
D O I
10.1016/j.advwatres.2005.04.006
中图分类号
TV21 [水资源调查与水利规划];
学科分类号
081501 ;
摘要
We have examined the evidence presented by Labat et al. and found that (1) their claims for a 4% increase in global runoff arising from a I degrees C increase in air temperature and (2) that their article provides the "first experimental data-based evidence demonstrating the link between the global warming and the intensification of the global hydrological cycle" are not supported by the data presented. Our conclusions are based on the facts that (1) their discharge records exhibit non-climatic influences and trends, (2) their work cannot refute previous studies finding no relation between air temperature and runoff, (3) their conclusions cannot explain relations before 1925, and (4) the statistical significance of their results hinges on a single data point that exerts undue influence on the slope of the regression line. We argue that Labat et al. have not provided sufficient evidence to support their claim for having detected increases in global runoff resulting from climate warming. (c) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
引用
收藏
页码:1310 / 1315
页数:6
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