South Africa's winter rainfall region drought: A region in transition?

被引：49

作者：

Archer, Emma ^{[1
]}

Landman, Willem ^{[1
]}

Malherbe, Johan ^{[2
]}

Tadross, Mark ^{[3
]}

Pretorius, Simone ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Pretoria, Ctr Environm Studies, Dept Geog Geoinformat & Meteorol, Private Bag X20, ZA-0028 Hatfield, South Africa

[2] CSIR Nat Resources & Environm, Bldg 33,Meiring Naude Campus, ZA-0001 Pretoria, South Africa

[3] Univ Cape Town, Climate Syst Anal Grp, UNDP, Private Bag X3, ZA-7701 Rondebosch, South Africa

[4] Agr Res Council, Helshoogte Rd, ZA-7599 Stellenbosch, South Africa

来源：

CLIMATE RISK MANAGEMENT | 2019年 / 25卷

关键词：

Drought; Agriculture; Seasonal forecasting; Southern Africa;

D O I：

10.1016/j.crm.2019.100188

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The Western Cape region of South Africa is a key producing area for South African agriculture, with a strong dependence on austral winter rainfall. The past three years have, however, seen extensive drought impacting this region, with significant impacts on agriculture. In this article, we unpack how the drought unfolded, as well as possibilities in predicting winter rainfall. We consider how drought impacted agriculture, looking in depth at two commodities key to the winter rainfall region agricultural sector - namely, wheat and apples; concluding with a brief discussion of implications for the future.

引用

页数：8

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