South Africa's winter rainfall region drought: A region in transition?

被引：49

作者：

Archer, Emma ^{[1
]}

Landman, Willem ^{[1
]}

Malherbe, Johan ^{[2
]}

Tadross, Mark ^{[3
]}

Pretorius, Simone ^{[4
]}

机构：

[1] Univ Pretoria, Ctr Environm Studies, Dept Geog Geoinformat & Meteorol, Private Bag X20, ZA-0028 Hatfield, South Africa

[2] CSIR Nat Resources & Environm, Bldg 33,Meiring Naude Campus, ZA-0001 Pretoria, South Africa

[3] Univ Cape Town, Climate Syst Anal Grp, UNDP, Private Bag X3, ZA-7701 Rondebosch, South Africa

[4] Agr Res Council, Helshoogte Rd, ZA-7599 Stellenbosch, South Africa

来源：

CLIMATE RISK MANAGEMENT | 2019年 / 25卷

关键词：

Drought; Agriculture; Seasonal forecasting; Southern Africa;

D O I：

10.1016/j.crm.2019.100188

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

The Western Cape region of South Africa is a key producing area for South African agriculture, with a strong dependence on austral winter rainfall. The past three years have, however, seen extensive drought impacting this region, with significant impacts on agriculture. In this article, we unpack how the drought unfolded, as well as possibilities in predicting winter rainfall. We consider how drought impacted agriculture, looking in depth at two commodities key to the winter rainfall region agricultural sector - namely, wheat and apples; concluding with a brief discussion of implications for the future.

引用

页数：8

共 50 条

[21] THE DISTRIBUTION OF RAINFALL OVER THE SUGAR REGION OF SOUTH-AFRICA
DYER, TGJ
TRANSACTIONS OF THE ROYAL SOCIETY OF SOUTH AFRICA, 1980, 44 : 257 - 267
[22] The partition of a region into rainfall districts - With special reference to South Africa
Schumann, TEW
Hoemeyr, WL
QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF THE ROYAL METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY, 1938, 64 : 482 - 488
[23] ANALYSIS OF RAINFALL VARIABILITY IN THE NORTHEASTERN REGION OF SOUTH-AFRICA
KELBE, BE
GARSTANG, M
BRIER, G
ARCHIVES FOR METEOROLOGY GEOPHYSICS AND BIOCLIMATOLOGY SERIES B-THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY, 1983, 32 (2-3): : 231 - 252
[24] Physicochemical and metal composition of rainfall in the Johannesburg region, South Africa
Abiye, Tamiru A.
ENVIRONMENTAL MONITORING AND ASSESSMENT, 2021, 193 (06)
[25] TEMPORAL VARIATION OF RAINFALL RUNOFF OVER SUMMER RAINFALL REGION OF SOUTH-AFRICA
ABBOTT, MA
DYER, TGJ
SOUTH AFRICAN JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, 1976, 72 (09) : 276 - 278
[26] Late Holocene precipitation variability in the summer rainfall region of South Africa
Stager, J. Curt
Ryves, David B.
King, Christiaan
Madson, Jerome
Hazzard, Matthew
Neumann, Frank H.
Maud, Rodney
QUATERNARY SCIENCE REVIEWS, 2013, 67 : 105 - 120
[27] Effect of cropping system on composition of the Rhizoctonia populations recovered from canola and lupin in a winter rainfall region of South Africa
Sandra Christina Lamprecht
Yared Tesfai Tewoldemedhin
Mark Hardy
Frikkie J. Calitz
Mark Mazzola
European Journal of Plant Pathology, 2011, 131 : 305 - 316
[28] Effect of cropping system on composition of the Rhizoctonia populations recovered from canola and lupin in a winter rainfall region of South Africa
Lamprecht, Sandra Christina
Tewoldemedhin, Yared Tesfai
Hardy, Mark
Calitz, Frikkie J.
Mazzola, Mark
EUROPEAN JOURNAL OF PLANT PATHOLOGY, 2011, 131 (02) : 305 - 316
[29] The influence of ENSO on winter rainfall in South Africa
Philippon, N.
Rouault, M.
Richard, Y.
Favre, A.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF CLIMATOLOGY, 2012, 32 (15) : 2333 - 2347
[30] SPATIAL AND TEMPORAL ANALYSIS OF THE RECENT DROUGHT IN THE SUMMER RAINFALL REGION OF SOUTHERN-AFRICA
DENT, MC
SCHULZE, RE
WILLS, HMM
LYNCH, SD
WATER SA, 1987, 13 (01) : 37 - 42

← 1 2 3 4 5 →