This paper first outlines the key stylized facts about changes in inflation dynamics in recent years: (1) inflation persistence has declined, (2) the Phillips-curve has flattened and (3) inflation has become less responsive to other shocks. These changes in inflation dynamics are interpreted as resulting from an anchoring of inflation expectations as a result of better monetary policy. The paper then goes on to draw implications for monetary policy from this interpretation, as well as implications for inflation forecasts.
机构:
Texas A&M Univ, Mays Business Sch, Real Estate Res Ctr, 1700 Res Pkwy, College Stn, TX 77843 USATexas A&M Univ, Mays Business Sch, Real Estate Res Ctr, 1700 Res Pkwy, College Stn, TX 77843 USA
Anari, Ali
Kolari, James
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机构:
Texas A&M Univ, Mays Business Sch, Dept Finance, College Stn, TX 77843 USATexas A&M Univ, Mays Business Sch, Real Estate Res Ctr, 1700 Res Pkwy, College Stn, TX 77843 USA