Delaying carbon dioxide removal in the European Union puts climate targets at risk

被引:44
|
作者
Galan-Martin, Angel [1 ,2 ,3 ]
Vazquez, Daniel [1 ,4 ]
Cobo, Selene [1 ]
Mac Dowell, Niall [5 ,6 ]
Antonio Caballero, Jose [4 ]
Guillen-Gosalbez, Gonzalo [1 ]
机构
[1] Swiss Fed Inst Technol, Dept Chem & Appl Biosci, Inst Chem & Bioengn, Vladimir Prelog Weg 1, CH-8093 Zurich, Switzerland
[2] Univ Jaen, Dept Chem Environm & Mat Engn, Campus Las Lagunillas S-N, Jaen 23071, Spain
[3] Univ Jaen, Ctr Adv Studies Earth Sci Energy & Environm CEACT, Campus Las Lagunillas S-N, Jaen 23071, Spain
[4] Univ Alicante, Nstit Ute Chem Proc Engn, PO 99, E-3080 Alicante, Spain
[5] Imperial Coll London, Ctr Environm Policy, Exhibit Rd, London SW7 1NA, England
[6] Imperial Coll London, Ctr Proc Syst Engn, Exhibit Rd, London SW7 2AZ, England
关键词
NEGATIVE EMISSIONS; CAPTURE; STORAGE; ENERGY; NEED;
D O I
10.1038/s41467-021-26680-3
中图分类号
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要
Carbon dioxide removal (CDR) will be essential to meet the climate targets, so enabling its deployment at the right time will be decisive. Here, we investigate the still poorly understood implications of delaying CDR actions, focusing on integrating direct air capture and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (DACCS and BECCS) into the European Union power mix. Under an indicative target of -50 Gt of net CO2 by 2100, delayed CDR would cost an extra of 0.12-0.19 trillion EUR per year of inaction. Moreover, postponing CDR beyond mid-century would substantially reduce the removal potential to almost half (-35.60 Gt CO2) due to the underused biomass and land resources and the maximum technology diffusion speed. The effective design of BECCS and DACCS systems calls for long-term planning starting from now and aligned with the evolving power systems. Our quantitative analysis of the consequences of inaction on CDR-with climate targets at risk and fair CDR contributions at stake-should help to break the current impasse and incentivize early actions worldwide. The implications of delaying carbon dioxide removal (CDR) are poorly understood. Here the authors highlight the potential extra costs and reduced removal potential of delayed CDR action, with a special focus on direct air capture and bioenergy with carbon capture and storage (DACCS and BECCS).
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页数:12
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