Epidemics on networks with preventive rewiring

被引:6
|
作者
Ball, Frank [1 ]
Britton, Tom [2 ]
机构
[1] Univ Nottingham, Sch Math Sci, Univ Pk, Nottingham NG7 2RD, England
[2] Stockholm Univ, Dept Math, Stockholm, Sweden
基金
瑞典研究理事会;
关键词
branching process; limit theorems; random graph; rewiring; SIR epidemic; MODELS; LIMIT; SIZE;
D O I
10.1002/rsa.21066
中图分类号
TP31 [计算机软件];
学科分类号
081202 ; 0835 ;
摘要
A stochastic SIR (susceptible -> infective -> recovered) model is considered for the spread of an epidemic on a network, described initially by an Erdos-Renyi random graph, in which susceptible individuals connected to infectious neighbors may drop or rewire such connections. A novel construction of the model is used to derive a deterministic model for epidemics started with a positive fraction initially infected and prove convergence of the scaled stochastic model to that deterministic model as the population size n ->infinity. For epidemics initiated by a single infective that take off, we prove that for part of the parameter space, in the limit as n ->infinity, the final fraction infected tau(lambda) is discontinuous in the infection rate lambda at its threshold lambda c, thus not converging to 0 as lambda down arrow lambda c. The discontinuity is particularly striking when rewiring is necessarily to susceptible individuals in that tau(lambda) jumps from 0 to 1 as lambda passes through lambda c.
引用
收藏
页码:250 / 297
页数:48
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [11] Epidemics on interconnected networks
    Dickison, Mark
    Havlin, S.
    Stanley, H. E.
    PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 2012, 85 (06):
  • [12] Modelling epidemics on networks
    House, Thomas
    CONTEMPORARY PHYSICS, 2012, 53 (03) : 213 - 225
  • [13] Epidemics on dynamic networks
    Enright, Jessica
    Kao, Rowland Raymond
    EPIDEMICS, 2018, 24 : 88 - 97
  • [14] Disassortative networks generated by directed rewiring
    Qu Jing
    Wang Sheng-Jun
    ACTA PHYSICA SINICA, 2015, 64 (19)
  • [15] Evolutionary rewiring of bacterial regulatory networks
    Taylor, Tiffany B.
    Mulley, Geraldine
    McGuffin, Liam J.
    Johnson, Louise J.
    Brockhurst, Michael A.
    Arseneault, Tanya
    Silby, Mark W.
    Jackson, Robert W.
    MICROBIAL CELL, 2015, 2 (07): : 256 - 258
  • [16] Bypass rewiring and robustness of complex networks
    Park, Junsang
    Hahn, Sang Geun
    PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 2016, 94 (02)
  • [17] Rewiring strategies for semantic overlay networks
    Paraskevi Raftopoulou
    Euripides G. M. Petrakis
    Christos Tryfonopoulos
    Distributed and Parallel Databases, 2009, 26
  • [18] Global Edgetic Rewiring in Cancer Networks
    Wang, Yang
    Sahni, Nidhi
    Vidal, Marc
    CELL SYSTEMS, 2015, 1 (04) : 251 - 253
  • [19] Measuring the Evolutionary Rewiring of Biological Networks
    Shou, Chong
    Bhardwaj, Nitin
    Lam, Hugo Y. K.
    Yan, Koon-Kiu
    Kim, Philip M.
    Snyder, Michael
    Gerstein, Mark B.
    PLOS COMPUTATIONAL BIOLOGY, 2011, 7 (01)
  • [20] Dynamic rewiring in small world networks
    Hatchett, JPL
    Skantzos, NS
    Nikoletopoulos, T
    PHYSICAL REVIEW E, 2005, 72 (06):