random walk;
structural break;
mean reversion;
efficient market hypothesis;
UNIT-ROOT TESTS;
OIL-PRICE SHOCK;
STOCK-PRICES;
MEAN REVERSION;
RANDOM-WALKS;
TIME-SERIES;
BREAKING TREND;
GREAT CRASH;
PANEL-DATA;
POWER;
D O I:
暂无
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
This study aims to investigate whether stock price returns are on a random walk for OECD countries. Using quarterly data for the 2005:1 - 2011:2 period, LM unit root test is employed which endogenously determines up to two structural breaks in level and trend. The empirical findings suggest a combination of random walk and mean reversion results for OECD countries. The results show that efficient market hypothesis (EMH) is confirmed in 13 out of 34 OECD countries. However, with regard to the panel unit root test, the OECD countries share price index returns are mean reverting which highlights the fact that the EMH is not valid.
机构:
Department of Geography, Regional Analysis Laboratory (REGAL), San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182-4493Department of Geography, Regional Analysis Laboratory (REGAL), San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182-4493
Duque J.C.
Ramos R.
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机构:
Department of Econometrics, Statistics and Spanish Economy, Grup d'Anàlisi Quantitativa Regional, Universitat de Barcelona, 08034 BarcelonaDepartment of Geography, Regional Analysis Laboratory (REGAL), San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182-4493
Ramos R.
Suriñach J.
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机构:
Department of Econometrics, Statistics and Spanish Economy, Grup d'Anàlisi Quantitativa Regional, Universitat de Barcelona, 08034 BarcelonaDepartment of Geography, Regional Analysis Laboratory (REGAL), San Diego State University, San Diego, CA 92182-4493
机构:
Univ Valencia, Fac Econ, Dept Management Juan Jose Renau Piqueras, Av Tarongers S-N, Valencia 46022, SpainUniv Valencia, Fac Econ, Dept Management Juan Jose Renau Piqueras, Av Tarongers S-N, Valencia 46022, Spain
Salas-Molina, Francisco
Pla-Santamaria, David
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机构:
Univ Politecn Valencia Ferrandiz & Carbonell, Higher Polytech Sch Alcoy, Dept Econ & Social Sci, Alcoy 03801, SpainUniv Valencia, Fac Econ, Dept Management Juan Jose Renau Piqueras, Av Tarongers S-N, Valencia 46022, Spain
Pla-Santamaria, David
Mayor-Vitoria, Fernando
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机构:
Univ Politecn Valencia Ferrandiz & Carbonell, Higher Polytech Sch Alcoy, Dept Econ & Social Sci, Alcoy 03801, SpainUniv Valencia, Fac Econ, Dept Management Juan Jose Renau Piqueras, Av Tarongers S-N, Valencia 46022, Spain
Mayor-Vitoria, Fernando
Vercher-Ferrandiz, Maria Luisa
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机构:
Univ Politecn Valencia Ferrandiz & Carbonell, Higher Polytech Sch Alcoy, Dept Econ & Social Sci, Alcoy 03801, SpainUniv Valencia, Fac Econ, Dept Management Juan Jose Renau Piqueras, Av Tarongers S-N, Valencia 46022, Spain