Estimating the Period of a Cyclic Non-Homogeneous Poisson Process

被引:4
|
作者
Belitser, Eduard [1 ]
Serra, Paulo [1 ]
Van Zanten, Harry [1 ]
机构
[1] Eindhoven Univ Technol, Dept Math, NL-5600 MB Eindhoven, Netherlands
关键词
ergodic theorem; identifiability; m-estimator non-homogeneous poisson process; periodic estimation; period intensity; semi-parametric estimation; INTENSITY FUNCTION;
D O I
10.1111/j.1467-9469.2012.00806.x
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
. Motivated by applications of Poisson processes for modelling periodic time-varying phenomena, we study a semi-parametric estimator of the period of cyclic intensity function of a non-homogeneous Poisson process. There are no parametric assumptions on the intensity function which is treated as an infinite dimensional nuisance parameter. We propose a new family of estimators for the period of the intensity function, address the identifiability and consistency issues and present simulations which demonstrate good performance of the proposed estimation procedure in practice. We compare our method to competing methods on synthetic data and apply it to a real data set from a call center.
引用
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页码:204 / 218
页数:15
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