Testing hydrologic time series for stationarity

被引:50
|
作者
Chen, HL [1 ]
Rao, AR
机构
[1] Lan Yang Inst Technol, Dept Environm Engn, Toucheng 26141, Ilan, Taiwan
[2] Purdue Univ, Sch Civil Engn, W Lafayette, IN 47907 USA
关键词
algorithms; time-series analysis; droughts; stationary processes; hydrology;
D O I
10.1061/(ASCE)1084-0699(2002)7:2(129)
中图分类号
TU [建筑科学];
学科分类号
0813 ;
摘要
The main objective of this study is to examine if hydrologic monthly series are stationary. A segmentation algorithm is applied so that nonstationary series are identified and partitioned into stationary segments. Four sets of hydrologic data are analyzed, including monthly streamflow, temperature, precipitation, and Palmer's drought severity index series. The first-order differenced standardized monthly series are also analyzed, in addition to the standardized monthly series. The results indicate that more series of monthly streamflow and Palmer's drought severity index are identified as nonstationary than stationary, while more series of monthly temperature and precipitation are stationary. The change points are commonly observed during two periods, one between 1960 and 1970, and the other between 1930 and 1940. In general, standardized hydrologic monthly series, either differenced or not, are nonstationary.
引用
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页码:129 / 136
页数:8
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