Non-parametric detection and estimation of structural change

被引:32
|
作者
Kristensen, Dennis [1 ,2 ,3 ]
机构
[1] UCL, Dept Econ, London WC1E 6BT, England
[2] Inst Fiscal Studies, Ctr Microdata Methods & Practice, London WC1E 7AE, England
[3] Aarhus Univ, Ctr Res Econometr Anal Time Series, DK-8000 Aarhus C, Denmark
来源
ECONOMETRICS JOURNAL | 2012年 / 15卷 / 03期
基金
英国经济与社会研究理事会; 美国国家科学基金会; 新加坡国家研究基金会;
关键词
Estimation; Generalized likelihood ratio; Locally stationary; Non-parametric; Structural change; Testing; Time series regression; Time varying; TIME-SERIES MODELS; PARTIALLY LINEAR-MODELS; EFFICIENT ESTIMATION; SEMIPARAMETRIC REGRESSION; PARAMETER INSTABILITY; TERM STRUCTURE; TESTS; NONSTATIONARY; CONSTANCY; BOOTSTRAP;
D O I
10.1111/j.1368-423X.2012.00378.x
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
We propose a semi-non-parametric approach to the estimation and testing of structural change in time series regression models. Under the null of a given set of the coefficients being constant, we develop estimators of both the time-varying (non-parametric) and constant (parametric) components. Given the estimators under null and alternative, generalized F and Wald tests are developed. The asymptotic distributions of the estimators and test statistics are derived. A simulation study examines the finite-sample performance of the estimators and tests. The techniques are employed in the analysis of structural change in the US productivity and the Eurodollar term structure.
引用
收藏
页码:420 / 461
页数:42
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