Predicting the main parameters of solar cycle 24 by the number of spotless days in the previous minimum

被引：1

作者：

Khlystov, A. I. ^{[1
]}

Somov, B. V. ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] Moscow MV Lomonosov State Univ, Sternberg State Astron Inst, Moscow 119991, Russia

来源：

IZVESTIYA ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC PHYSICS | 2012年 / 48卷 / 07期

关键词：

solar activity; cycle; prediction; spotless days; MAGNETIC-FIELD; MOTION; CONVECTION;

D O I：

10.1134/S0001433812070031

中图分类号：

P4 [大气科学（气象学）];

学科分类号：

0706 ; 070601 ;

摘要：

An attempt was made to connect the number of spotless days in previous minimums of solar cycles with the main characteristics of the following cycles: height, total length, and length of the rise branch. According to the value of the sum of spotless days in the minimum of cycle 23 I DT0 pound = 800 (July 2010), the following characteristics of cycle 24 were obtained: the beginning is 2009.0 (January 2009), the length of the rise branch RW = 4.8 years, the date of the maximum is 2013.8 (October 2013), Wolf's number in the maximum WM= 63, the length of the decline branch DW = 7.8 years, the total length DTmm = 12.6 years, and the end is 2021.6 (July 2021).

引用

页码：717 / 723

页数：7

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