On priors with a Kullback-Leibler property

被引:16
|
作者
Walker, S [1 ]
Damien, P
Lenk, P
机构
[1] Univ Bath, Dept Math, Bath BA2 7AY, Avon, England
[2] Univ Texas, McCombs Sch Business, Austin, TX 78712 USA
[3] Univ Michigan, Sch Business, Ann Arbor, MI 48109 USA
关键词
Bayes factors decision theory; exchangeability; expected utility rule; Kullback-Leibler divergence;
D O I
10.1198/016214504000000386
中图分类号
O21 [概率论与数理统计]; C8 [统计学];
学科分类号
020208 ; 070103 ; 0714 ;
摘要
In this paper, we highlight properties of Bayesian models in which the prior puts positive mass on all Kullback-Leibler neighborhoods of all densities. These properties are concerned with model choice via the Bayes factor, density estimation and the maximization of expected utility for decision problems. In four illustrations we focus on the Bayes factor and show that whatever models are being compared, the [log(Bayes factor)]/[sample size] converges to a non-random number which has a nice interpretation. A parametric versus semiparametric model comparison provides a fifth illustration.
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页码:404 / 408
页数:5
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