A deep implicit memory Gaussian network for time series forecasting

被引:2
|
作者
Zhang, Minglan [1 ]
Sun, Linfu
Zou, Yisheng
He, Songlin
机构
[1] Southwest Jiaotong Univ, Sch Comp & Artificial Intelligence, Chengdu 610031, Sichuan, Peoples R China
关键词
Deep memory kernel; Implicit features enhancement; Gaussian process regression; Long short term memory; Time series forecasting;
D O I
10.1016/j.asoc.2023.110878
中图分类号
TP18 [人工智能理论];
学科分类号
081104 ; 0812 ; 0835 ; 1405 ;
摘要
In recent years, significant achievements have been made in time series forecasting using deep learning methods, particularly the Long Short-Term Memory Network (LSTM). However, time series often exhibit complex patterns and relationships like trends, seasonal patterns and irregularities, and LSTM networks fail to effectively strengthen long-term dependence in time series data, which may lead to inaccurate forecasting effect or performance degradation. Therefore, building a model to explore the temporal dependence within the time series data completely still remains a challenge. In this paper, we propose a novel Deep Implicit Memory Gaussian (DIMG) Network based on bidirectional deep memory kernel process and the implicit features enhancement method for time series forecasting. We first use the implicit features enhancement method to obtain the hidden features of the data according to the nonlinear mapping characteristics of encoder. Then, a new deep learning process called bidirectional deep memory kernel has been developed, which merges the structural properties of deep learning with the adaptability of kernel methods to capture intricate information and memory structures in sequential data. This process fully encapsulates the structure of Bi-LSTM and Gaussian process regression (GPR). Finally, the performance of the proposed model is evaluated on two real-world datasets. The experimental results verify that our model outperforms other reported methods in terms of prediction accuracy.
引用
收藏
页数:12
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [31] Image-based time series forecasting: A deep convolutional neural network approach
    Semenoglou, Artemios-Anargyros
    Spiliotis, Evangelos
    Assimakopoulos, Vassilios
    NEURAL NETWORKS, 2023, 157 : 39 - 53
  • [32] Volatility forecasting using deep neural network with time-series feature embedding
    Chen, Wei-Jie
    Yao, Jing-Jing
    Shao, Yuan-Hai
    ECONOMIC RESEARCH-EKONOMSKA ISTRAZIVANJA, 2023, 36 (01): : 1377 - 1401
  • [33] Deep belief network-based AR model for nonlinear time series forecasting
    Xu, Wenquan
    Peng, Hui
    Zeng, Xiaoyong
    Zhou, Feng
    Tian, Xiaoying
    Peng, Xiaoyan
    APPLIED SOFT COMPUTING, 2019, 77 : 605 - 621
  • [34] A Deep Neural Network for Anomaly Detection and Forecasting for Multivariate Time Series in Smart City
    He, Junjie
    Dong, Min
    Bi, Sheng
    Zhao, Weijie
    Liao, Xutao
    2019 9TH IEEE ANNUAL INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE ON CYBER TECHNOLOGY IN AUTOMATION, CONTROL, AND INTELLIGENT SYSTEMS (IEEE-CYBER 2019), 2019, : 615 - 620
  • [35] Deep Belief Network Using Reinforcement Learning and Its Applications to Time Series Forecasting
    Hirata, Takaomi
    Kuremoto, Takashi
    Obayashi, Masanao
    Mabu, Shingo
    Kobayashi, Kunikazu
    NEURAL INFORMATION PROCESSING, ICONIP 2016, PT III, 2016, 9949 : 30 - 37
  • [36] New deep recurrent hybrid artificial neural network for forecasting seasonal time series
    Karahasan O.
    Bas E.
    Egrioglu E.
    Granular Computing, 2024, 9 (01)
  • [37] Gaussian Mixture Models for Time Series Modelling, Forecasting, and Interpolation
    Eirola, Emil
    Lendasse, Amaury
    ADVANCES IN INTELLIGENT DATA ANALYSIS XII, 2013, 8207 : 162 - 173
  • [38] A methodology for forecasting non-Gaussian hydrological time series
    Yu, GH
    Wen, WC
    STOCHASTIC HYDRAULICS '96, 1996, : 507 - 513
  • [39] Learning Gaussian Mixture Representations for Tensor Time Series Forecasting
    Deng, Jiewen
    Deng, Jinliang
    Jiang, Renhe
    Song, Xuan
    PROCEEDINGS OF THE THIRTY-SECOND INTERNATIONAL JOINT CONFERENCE ON ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE, IJCAI 2023, 2023, : 2077 - 2085
  • [40] Multiple Gaussian Process Models for Direct Time Series Forecasting
    Hachino, Tomohiro
    Kadirkamanathan, Visakan
    IEEJ TRANSACTIONS ON ELECTRICAL AND ELECTRONIC ENGINEERING, 2011, 6 (03) : 245 - 252