CATASTROPHE RISK MANAGEMENT FOR SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF REGIONS UNDER RISKS OF NATURAL DISASTERS

被引：5
|
作者：
Ermolieva, T. Yu. [1 ]
Sergienko, I. V. [2 ]
机构：
[1] Int Inst Appl Syst Anal, Laxenburg, Austria
[2] Natl Acad Sci Ukraine, VM Glushkov Inst Cybernet, Kiev, Ukraine
来源：
CYBERNETICS AND SYSTEMS ANALYSIS | 2008年 / 44卷 / 03期
关键词：
catastrophe risk insurance; stochastic optimization; adaptive Monte Carlo method; probabilistic constraints; sustainable development;
D O I：
10.1007/s10559-008-9002-3
中图分类号：
TP3 [计算技术、计算机技术];
学科分类号：
0812 ;
摘要：
The paper considers models and approaches to the analysis and decision making under catastrophic risks. It is shown that the design of optimal robust strategies for the flood risk management can be approached as a stochastic spatially explicit optimization problem combining the goals and constraints of various agents such as producers, farmers, individuals, governments, insurers, reinsurers, and investors. The approach is illustrated with a case study on catastrophic flood risks, which shows the importance of an appropriate combination of ex-ante and ex-post structural and financial measures.
引用
收藏
页码：405 / 417
页数：13
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