SENSITIVITY OF GLACIERS AND SMALL ICE CAPS TO GREENHOUSE WARMING

被引：305
|
作者：
OERLEMANS, J
FORTUIN, JPF
机构：
[1] Institute for Marine and Atmospheric Research, Utrecht University, 3584 CC Utrecht
来源：
SCIENCE | 1992年 / 258卷 / 5079期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1126/science.258.5079.115
中图分类号：
O [数理科学和化学]; P [天文学、地球科学]; Q [生物科学]; N [自然科学总论];
学科分类号：
07 ; 0710 ; 09 ;
摘要：
Recent field programs on glaciers have supplied information that makes simulation of glacier mass balance with meteorological models meaningful. An estimate of world-wide glacier sensitivity based on a modeling study of 12 selected glaciers situated in widely differing climatic regimes shows that for a uniform 1 K warming the area-weighted glacier mass balance will decrease by 0.40 meter per year. This corresponds to a sea-level rise of 0.58 millimeter per year, a value significantly less than earlier estimates.
引用
收藏
页码：115 / 117
页数：3
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