COINTEGRATION;
COMMON TRENDS;
PETROLEUM FUTURES PRICES;
D O I:
10.1016/0140-9883(94)90002-7
中图分类号:
F [经济];
学科分类号:
02 ;
摘要:
This paper presents evidence concerning the number of common stochastic trends in a system of three petroleum futures prices (crude oil, heating oil and unleaded gasoline) using daily data from 3 December 1984 to 30 April 1993. Johansen's maximum likelihood approach for estimating long-run relations in multivariate vector autoregressive models is used. The results indicate the presence of only one common trend.