Asset liability management for individual households

被引:15
|
作者
Dempster, M. A. H. [1 ]
Medova, E. A. [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Cambridge, Ctr Financial Res, Stat Lab, Ctr Math Sci, Cambridge CB3 0WB, England
关键词
Asset return simulation; Decision support system; Dynamic stochastic programming; Event simulation; Financial planning; Financial advice; Goals; Liability simulation; Life cycle model; Optimisation meta-models; Optimal decisions; Retirement; Sustainable wealth; Risk attitude; Risk management; SIPP and ISA retirement accounts; Tax efficiency;
D O I
10.1017/S135732171100016X
中图分类号
F8 [财政、金融];
学科分类号
0202 ;
摘要
Personal finance is a challenging topic which can benefit from a scientific approach to individual financial planning. This paper presents an individual asset liability management (iALM) model for life cycle planning which uses the methodology of dynamic stochastic optimisation and incorporates ideas from both classical and behavioural finance. Its implementation is in the form of a decision support tool for use by financial advisers or wealth managers. The investment universe is given by a set of indices for major asset classes and their returns are simulated forward over the lifetime of a household. On the liability side the foreseen cash flows of incomes and outgoings are simulated and punctuated by life events such as illness and death. The household's utility function is constructed for each time period over a range of monetary values in terms of household financial goals and preferences. Taxes and pension savings are treated using the tax shielded saving accounts specific to a national jurisdiction in terms of constraints in the optimisation sub-models. The paper goes on to present an analysis of iALM model recommendations for a representative UK household, together with an evaluation of the sensitivity of the financial plan generated to changes in market environments such as the 2007-9 crisis. The promise of this new technology is to bring modern decision support tools to individual investors in order to facilitate custom designed consumption, savings and investment policies.
引用
收藏
页码:405 / 439
页数:35
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