THE HINDSIGHT BIAS - THE ROLE OF THE AVAILABILITY HEURISTIC AND PERCEIVED RISK

被引：28
|
作者：
AGANS, RP [1 ]
SHAFFER, LS [1 ]
机构：
[1] W CHESTER UNIV,DEPT ANTHROPOL & SOCIOL,W CHESTER,PA 19380
来源：
BASIC AND APPLIED SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY | 1994年 / 15卷 / 04期
关键词：
D O I：
10.1207/s15324834basp1504_3
中图分类号：
B84 [心理学];
学科分类号：
04 ; 0402 ;
摘要：
The influence of outcome knowledge (Fischhoff, 1975) and the availability heuristic (Tversky & Kahneman, 1974) on judgments of perceived risk was explored here. This study found that subjects were capable of making relatively appropriate probability estimates for disease, accident, and homicide in foresight, but they made relatively biased estimates in hindsight. The results suggest that hindsight information activates the use of the availability heuristic on peoples' probability estimates of certain misfortune.
引用
收藏
页码：439 / 449
页数：11
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [41] Inducing an availability heuristic on the Wason selection task overrides thematching bias
    Taylor, John Powell
    Ashworth, Shanna'Le Juniper
    Petrovich, Sarah
    Young, Casey A.
    JOURNAL OF COGNITIVE PSYCHOLOGY, 2017, 29 (04) : 508 - 519
  • [42] Determinations of negligence and the hindsight bias
    LaBine, SJ
    LaBine, G
    LAW AND HUMAN BEHAVIOR, 1996, 20 (05) : 501 - 516
  • [43] Hindsight bias in psychiatrists' diagnoses
    Arbabi, M.
    Davani, B. Mostafazade
    Nejatisafa, A. A.
    Sadeghi, M.
    Hejri, Sara Mortaz
    Parsafar, H.
    EUROPEAN PSYCHIATRY, 2008, 23 : S325 - S326
  • [44] Increased hindsight bias in schizophrenia
    Woodward, Todd S.
    Moritz, Steffen
    Arnold, Michelle M.
    Cuttler, Carrie
    Whitman, Jennifer C.
    Lindsay, D. Stephen
    NEUROPSYCHOLOGY, 2006, 20 (04) : 461 - 467
  • [45] COPING WITH HINDSIGHT BIAS IN A PROJECT
    TOMASSINI, LA
    GRUDNITSKI, G
    JOURNAL OF SYSTEMS MANAGEMENT, 1980, 31 (08): : 22 - &
  • [46] Observers' reactions to genetic testing: The role of hindsight bias and judgments of responsibility
    Menec, VH
    Weiner, B
    JOURNAL OF APPLIED SOCIAL PSYCHOLOGY, 2000, 30 (08) : 1670 - 1690
  • [47] Hindsight Bias for Emotional Faces
    Giroux, Megan E.
    Hunsche, Michelle C.
    Erdfelder, Edgar
    Kumar, Ragav
    Bernstein, Daniel M.
    EMOTION, 2023, 23 (01) : 261 - 277
  • [48] Ways to assess hindsight bias
    Pohl, Ruediger F.
    SOCIAL COGNITION, 2007, 25 (01) : 14 - 31
  • [49] Complexity in simulation-based education: exploring the role of hindsight bias
    Motavalli A.
    Nestel D.
    Advances in Simulation, 1 (1)
  • [50] Hindsight Bias in Antitrust Law
    Leslie, Christopher R.
    VANDERBILT LAW REVIEW, 2018, 71 (05) : 1527 - 1591
12345