UNCERTAINTIES IN SYSTEM-ANALYSIS - PROBABILISTIC VERSUS NONPROBABILISTIC THEORIES

被引：47

作者：

WU, JS ^{[1
]}

APOSTOLAKIS, GE ^{[1
]}

OKRENT, D ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNIV CALIF LOS ANGELES, DEPT MECH AEROSP & NUCL ENGN, LOS ANGELES, CA 90024 USA

来源：

RELIABILITY ENGINEERING & SYSTEM SAFETY | 1990年 / 30卷 / 1-3期

关键词：

D O I：

10.1016/0951-8320(90)90093-3

中图分类号：

T [工业技术];

学科分类号：

08 ;

摘要：

The theory of evidence and the theory of possibility have been suggested as possible alternatives to probability theory in safety analyses of engineering systems. This paper discusses three issues: (1) how formal probability theory has been relaxed to develop these nonprobabilistic models; (2) how degrees of belief are expressed in probabilistic and nonprobabilistic theories; and (3) the degree to which these nonprobabilistic models can be applied to system analysis in terms of their capability to combine knowledge. © 1990.

引用

页码：163 / 181

页数：19

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