Web-based horizon scanning: concepts and practice

被引:19
|
作者
Palomino, Marco A. [1 ,2 ]
Bardsley, Sarah [3 ]
Bown, Kevin [4 ]
De Lurio, Jennifer [3 ]
Ellwood, Peter [5 ]
Holland-Smith, David [4 ]
Huggins, Bob [6 ]
Vincenti, Alexandra [7 ]
Woodroof, Harry [4 ]
Owen, Richard [8 ]
机构
[1] Univ Exeter, European Ctr Environm & Human Hlth, Truro, England
[2] Univ Westminster, Sch Elect & Comp Sci, London, England
[3] Environm Agcy, Bristol, Avon, England
[4] Def Sci & Technol Lab, Porton Down, England
[5] Futures Team Hlth & Safety Lab, Buxton, England
[6] Plymouth Marine Lab, Plymouth, Devon, England
[7] Lloyds London, London, England
[8] Univ Exeter, Business Sch, Exeter, Devon, England
来源
FORESIGHT | 2012年 / 14卷 / 05期
关键词
Internet; Information management; Knowledge management; Uncertainty management; Risk management; Strategic planning;
D O I
10.1108/14636681211269851
中图分类号
TU98 [区域规划、城乡规划];
学科分类号
0814 ; 082803 ; 0833 ;
摘要
Purpose - In this review, the aim is first to define horizon scanning and then outline the general approach currently employed by many organisations using web-based resources. It then aims to discuss the benefits and drivers of horizon scanning, to identify some organisations currently undertaking activities in the field, and explain in detail how the web-based horizon scanning approach is implemented. The aim is then to conclude with a discussion of good practice and areas for further research. Design/methodology/approach - The basis for this review is a symposium held at the UK Defence Science and Technology Laboratory in March 2010, where groups undertaking horizon scanning activities shared practices and reviewed the state of the art. Practitioners from both public sector and private organisations attending this symposium, as well as others, were invited to contribute to the manuscript, developing this as an iterative exercise over the last year. Findings - Structured processes of web-based horizon scanning, underpinned by strong technical understanding and principles of good practice described in the review, can add significant value to organisational decision making. Originality/value - While a growing number of private and public sector organisations have already embarked on the use of the web as a key information resource, no detailed explanation of the web-based horizon scanning approach has been published. The review therefore makes an original contribution to this field, with collaborations by horizon scanning practitioners, discussing what constitutes good practice and highlighting areas where future research is needed.
引用
收藏
页码:355 / 373
页数:19
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