TRANSFER-FUNCTION MODELS OF DAILY URBAN WATER-USE

被引：104

作者：

MAIDMENT, DR ^{[1
]}

MIAOU, SP ^{[1
]}

CRAWFORD, MM ^{[1
]}

机构：

[1] UNIV TEXAS,DEPT MECH ENGN,AUSTIN,TX 78712

来源：

WATER RESOURCES RESEARCH | 1985年 / 21卷 / 04期

关键词：

RAIN AND RAINFALL - WATER RESOURCES - Mathematical Models;

D O I：

10.1029/WR021i004p00425

中图分类号：

X [环境科学、安全科学];

学科分类号：

08 ; 0830 ;

摘要：

A time series model of daily municipal use as a function of rainfall and air temperature is developed. Total water use is separated into base use and seasonal use. The seasonal use series is detrended, then a nonlinear heat function relating water use to air temperature during rainless periods is employed to deseasonalize the series. The residuals are modeled using Box-Jenkins transfer functions with transformed rainfall and air temperature as independent variables. The model is applied to daily data from Austin, Texas from 1975 to 1981 and accounts for 97% of the variance of daily municipal water use over that period. Forecasts of daily usage are made for a two-week lead time.

引用

页码：425 / 432

页数：8

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