Exchange Rate and Oil Price Interactions in Selected CEE Countries

被引:3
|
作者
Drachal, Krzysztof [1 ]
机构
[1] Univ Warsaw, Fac Econ Sci, PL-00241 Warsaw, Poland
来源
ECONOMIES | 2018年 / 6卷 / 02期
关键词
causality; exchange rates; non-linear causality; oil price; stock prices; volatility spillover;
D O I
10.3390/economies6020031
中图分类号
F [经济];
学科分类号
02 ;
摘要
This paper reports a study on the causal dynamics between spot oil price, exchange rates, and stock prices in Poland, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Romania, and Serbia. The results are compared with a benchmark analysis in which U.S. monthly data are used, and time periods are selected according to the flexibility of exchange rate regimes in each country. A period between 2000 and 2015 is analyzed. The methodology is based on the Granger causality test, and the non-linear Diks-Panchenko test, while the causality in variance is checked with the Hafner-Herwartz test.
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页数:21
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