Detailed Seismic Hazard, Disaggregation and Sensitivity Analysis for the Indo-Gangetic Basin

被引:0
|
作者
Ketan Bajaj
P. Anbazhagan
机构
[1] Indian Institute of Science,
来源
关键词
Indo-Gangetic basin; seismicity parameters; disaggregation; sensitivity analysis; hazard analysis;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Seismic hazard in terms of peak ground acceleration (PGA) and spectral acceleration (SA) for the seismically active Indo-Gangetic Basin (IGB) has been computed using both a fault model and spatially smoothed-grid seismicity model. Seismicity parameters, viz. minimum magnitude, the maximum regional magnitude Mmax\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${M}_{\mathrm{max}}$$\end{document}, mean seismic activity rate λ\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$\lambda $$\end{document}, the slope of the frequency–magnitude Gutenberg–Richter relationship, and the β-value (bln(10)\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$$bln(10)$$\end{document}), have been estimated spatially. The layered seismogenic source framework based on hypocentral depth distribution, i.e. 0–25, 25–70, and 70–180 km, for the smoothed-grid seismicity model has also been employed. The lowest λ4\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${\lambda }_{4}$$\end{document} and λ5\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${\lambda }_{5}$$\end{document} values for the IGB are 0.05 to 0.02 and 0.015 to 0.005, respectively, in the southern part of the IGB for hypocentral depth variation of 0–25 km. The IGB has a significant variation of seismicity in the entire stretch with noteworthy clustering in the northern side, which gradually decreases towards the south, and the spatial variability of the b-value and Mmax\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${M}_{\mathrm{max}}$$\end{document} are 0.65–1.15 and 5.0–8.4 Mw\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${M}_{w}$$\end{document}, respectively. A ground-motion prediction equation has been selected and weighted by carrying out the efficacy test considering the past earthquakes. The disaggregation process is used for determining the spatial contribution of different magnitudes and distances for the whole IGB. Sensitivity analysis is used for examining the effect of various parameters. The PGA for the IGB varies from 0.06 to 0.54 g for 2% and 0.03 to 0.32 g for a 10% probability of exceedance in 50 years at bedrock condition. The developed average uniform hazard spectra in this study match well with the spectra derived from recorded ground motion. Based on the disaggregation process, dominant magnitude and distance are in the range of 4.7 to 6.0 Mw\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${M}_{w}$$\end{document} and 15 to 75 km, respectively, in the case of PGA and change to 5.5–7.2 Mw\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${M}_{w}$$\end{document} and 45 to 150 km in the case of 0.5 s and 5.8–7.5 Mw\documentclass[12pt]{minimal} \usepackage{amsmath} \usepackage{wasysym} \usepackage{amsfonts} \usepackage{amssymb} \usepackage{amsbsy} \usepackage{mathrsfs} \usepackage{upgreek} \setlength{\oddsidemargin}{-69pt} \begin{document}$${M}_{w}$$\end{document} and 70 to 250 km in the case of 2.0 s. Sensitivity analysis suggested that increase in maximum magnitude and distance has an impact on hazard level over a longer period. This is the first time a detailed hazard analysis has been presented for the IGB.
引用
收藏
页码:1977 / 1999
页数:22
相关论文
共 50 条
  • [1] Detailed Seismic Hazard, Disaggregation and Sensitivity Analysis for the Indo-Gangetic Basin
    Bajaj, Ketan
    Anbazhagan, P.
    PURE AND APPLIED GEOPHYSICS, 2021, 178 (06) : 1977 - 1999
  • [2] Amplification of Seismic Waves in the Central Indo-Gangetic Basin, India
    Srinagesh, D.
    Singh, S. K.
    Chadha, R. K.
    Paul, A.
    Suresh, G.
    Ordaz, M.
    Dattatrayam, R. S.
    BULLETIN OF THE SEISMOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF AMERICA, 2011, 101 (05) : 2231 - 2242
  • [3] Liquefaction Hazard Mapping of Lucknow: A Part of Indo-Gangetic Basin (IGB)
    Kumar, Abhishek
    Anbazhagan, P.
    Sitharam, T. G.
    INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF GEOTECHNICAL EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING, 2013, 4 (01) : 17 - 41
  • [4] INDO-GANGETIC BASIN - A GROUP DISCUSSION
    GUPTA, KR
    JOURNAL OF THE GEOLOGICAL SOCIETY OF INDIA, 1993, 41 (03) : 282 - 283
  • [5] Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for some parts of the Indo-Gangetic plains, India
    Chhotu Kumar Keshri
    William Kumar Mohanty
    Pratul Ranjan
    Natural Hazards, 2020, 103 : 815 - 843
  • [6] Probabilistic seismic hazard assessment for some parts of the Indo-Gangetic plains, India
    Keshri, Chhotu Kumar
    Mohanty, William Kumar
    Ranjan, Pratul
    NATURAL HAZARDS, 2020, 103 (01) : 815 - 843
  • [7] QUATERNARY SEDIMENTATION IN THE INDO-GANGETIC BASIN - A REVIEW
    PANT, CC
    SHARMA, AK
    CURRENT SCIENCE, 1993, 64 (11-12): : 855 - 862
  • [8] Seismic wave propagation simulations in Indo-Gangetic basin using spectral element method
    Sreejaya, K. P.
    Raghukanth, S. T. G.
    Srinagesh, D.
    GEOPHYSICAL JOURNAL INTERNATIONAL, 2023, 232 (01) : 247 - 273
  • [9] Seismic Response of the Central Part of Indo-Gangetic Plain
    Bagchi, Saikat
    Raghukanth, S. T. G.
    JOURNAL OF EARTHQUAKE ENGINEERING, 2019, 23 (02) : 183 - 207
  • [10] Anthropogenic aerosols in precipitation over the Indo-Gangetic basin
    Anshumala Sharma
    Puja Khare
    Nahar Singh
    Suresh Tiwari
    D. M. Chate
    Ranjit Kumar
    Environmental Geochemistry and Health, 2023, 45 : 961 - 980