Short-term spatio-temporal forecasting of air temperatures using deep graph convolutional neural networks

被引:0
|
作者
Lucia García-Duarte
Jenny Cifuentes
Geovanny Marulanda
机构
[1] Universidad Carlos III de Madrid,Department of Statistics
[2] Comillas Pontifical University,Department of Quantitative Methods, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, ICADE
[3] Comillas Pontifical University,Institute for Research in Technology (IIT), ICAI School of Engineering
关键词
Air temperature forecasting; Short-term forecasting; Deep learning; Deep graph convolutional neural networks; Missing values imputation;
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摘要
Time series forecasting of meteorological variables, such as the hourly air temperature, has multiple benefits for industry, agriculture, and the environment. Due to the high accuracy required for the associated short-term predictions, traditional methods cannot satisfy the requirements and generally ignore spatial dependencies. This paper proposes a deep Graph Convolutional Long Short Term Memory Neural Network (GCN-LSTM) technique to tackle the time series prediction problem in air temperature forecasting. In the proposed methodology, temporal and spatial-based imputation approaches have been employed to recover the weather variables missing values. The proposed approach is validated using real, open weather data from 37 meteorological stations in Spain. Performed analysis indicates that GCN-LSTM showed superior performance when compared with various state-of-the-art Deep Learning based models found in the literature, resulting in a more robust and computationally efficient model for forecasting air temperature in many meteorological stations simultaneously.
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页码:1649 / 1667
页数:18
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