Dynamic consistency of expected utility under non-classical (quantum) uncertainty

被引:0
|
作者
V. I. Danilov
A. Lambert-Mogiliansky
V. Vergopoulos
机构
[1] Russian Academy of Sciences,Central Mathematic Economic Institute
[2] Paris School of Economics,undefined
[3] Université Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne and Paris School of Economics,undefined
来源
Theory and Decision | 2018年 / 84卷
关键词
Quantum lottery; Decision-making; Uncertainty; Dynamic consistency;
D O I
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学科分类号
摘要
Quantum cognition in decision making is a recent and rapidly growing field. In this paper, we develop an expected utility theory in a context of non-classical (quantum) uncertainty. We replace the classical state space with a Hilbert space which allows introducing the concept of quantum lottery. Within that framework, we formulate axioms on preferences over quantum lotteries to establish a representation theorem. We show that demanding the consistency of choice behavior conditional on new information is equivalent to the von Neumann–Lüders postulate applied to beliefs. A dynamically consistent quantum-like agent may violate dynamic recursive consistency, however. This feature suggests interesting applications in behavioral economics as we illustrate in an example of persuasion.
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页码:645 / 670
页数:25
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