CSEP Testing Center and the first results of the earthquake forecast testing experiment in Japan

被引:0
|
作者
H. Tsuruoka
N. Hirata
D. Schorlemmer
F. Euchner
K. Z. Nanjo
T. H. Jordan
机构
[1] University of Tokyo,Earthquake Research Institute
[2] University of Southern California,Southern California Earthquake Center
[3] GeoForschungsZentrum,Swiss Seismological Service
[4] ETH Zürich,undefined
[5] National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Prevention,undefined
来源
Earth, Planets and Space | 2012年 / 64卷
关键词
Earthquake forecasting and testing; statistical seismology; seismic hazard; Japan;
D O I
暂无
中图分类号
学科分类号
摘要
Major objectives of the Japanese earthquake prediction research program for the period 2009–2013 are to create earthquake forecasting models and begin the prospective testing of these models against recorded seismicity. For this purpose, the Earthquake Research Institute of the University of Tokyo has joined an international partnership to create a Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability (CSEP). Here, we describe a new infrastructure for developing and evaluating forecasting models—the CSEP Japan Testing Center—as well as some preliminary testing results. On 1 November 2009, the Testing Center started a prospective and competitive earthquake predictability experiment using the seismically active and well-instrumented region of Japan as a natural laboratory.
引用
收藏
页码:661 / 671
页数:10
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