Rainfall and Dragon-Kings

被引:0
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作者
O. Peters
K. Christensen
J. D. Neelin
机构
[1] Imperial College London,Dept. of Mathematics and Grantham Institute for Climate Change
[2] University of California,Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
[3] Los Angeles,Dept. of Physcis
[4] Imperial College London,Dept. of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences
[5] University of California,undefined
[6] Los Angeles,undefined
关键词
Probability Density Function; Tropical Cyclone; Extreme Event; European Physical Journal Special Topic; Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission;
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摘要
Previous studies have found broad distributions, resembling power laws for different measures of the size of rainfall events. We investigate the large-event tail of these distributions and find in one measure that tropical cyclones account for a large proportion of the very largest events outside the scaling regime, i.e., beyond the cutoff of the power law. Tropical cyclones are sufficiently rare that they contribute a significant number only in a regime of large event sizes that common rain events almost never reach. The different physical dynamics of tropical cyclones permits a substantial extension of the tail in this large-event regime.
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页码:147 / 158
页数:11
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