Corrected empirical Bayes confidence intervals in nested error regression models

被引:0
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作者
Tatsuya Kubokawa
机构
[1] University of Tokyo,Faculty of Economics
关键词
primary 62F25; secondary 62F15; Best linear unbiased predictor; Confidence interval; Empirical Bayes procedure; Finite population; Linear mixed model; Nested error regression model; Second-order correction; Small area estimation;
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摘要
In the small area estimation, the empirical best linear unbiased predictor (EBLUP) or the empirical Bayes estimator (EB) in the linear mixed model is recognized to be useful because it gives a stable and reliable estimate for a mean of a small area. In practical situations where EBLUP is applied to real data, it is important to evaluate how much EBLUP is reliable. One method for the purpose is to construct a confidence interval based on EBLUP. In this paper, we obtain an asymptotically corrected empirical Bayes confidence interval in a nested error regression model with unbalanced sample sizes and unknown components of variance. The coverage probability is shown to satisfy the confidence level in the second-order asymptotics. It is numerically revealed that the corrected confidence interval is superior to the conventional confidence interval based on the sample mean in terms of the coverage probability and the expected width of the interval. Finally, it is applied to the posted land price data in Tokyo and the neighboring prefecture.
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页码:221 / 236
页数:15
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