The National Front Vote and Turnout in the French Presidential Elections

被引：0
|
作者：
Antoine Auberger
机构：
[1] CES-LAEP,
[2] University of Paris 1 Panthéon-Sorbonne,undefined
[3] Maison des sciences économiques,undefined
[4] 106-112 bld de l'Hôpital,undefined
[5] University of Paris 2 Panthéon-Assas,undefined
来源：
French Politics | 2008年 / 6卷 / 1期
关键词：
economic voting; election forecasting; National Front; turnout; French presidential elections;
D O I：
10.1057/palgrave.fp.8200135
中图分类号：
学科分类号：
摘要：
The purpose of this short paper is to build and estimate a model that explains and forecasts the vote received by the National Front at the first round of the French presidential elections (1988–2002 and 1988–2007) with local economic conditions and turnout. The model has been accurate in forecasting the elections of the past and we make ex post and ex ante forecasts taking into account the 2007 French presidential election.
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页码：94 / 100
页数：6
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