Background Factors of Global Climate Warming in the Coastal Zone of the Black Sea

Mechanisms of the positive changes in the heat budget of the active layer when its surface is cooling down and at its current eustasy are proposed. The proposed mechanisms are based on the analysis of long series of observations of the Black Sea temperature and level. The basic factors determining the vulnerability of the coastal infrastructure are established and a simplified scheme for assessing the possible damage is given. The development of the background factors in the near future is predicted and the necessity for the Black Sea countries to implement individual "redemption plans" is substantiated.