A disaggregate Box-Cox Logit mode choice model of intercity passenger travel in Germany and its implications for high-speed rail demand forecasts

被引：0

作者：

Benedikt Mandel

Marc Gaudry

Werner Rothengatter

机构：

[1] Centre de recherche sur les transports,

[2] Université de Montréal,undefined

[3] C.P. 6128,undefined

[4] succursale A,undefined

[5] Montréal,undefined

[6] Canada H3C 3J7,undefined

[7] Institut für Wirtschaftspolitik und Wirtschaftsforschung der Universität Karlsruhe (TH),undefined

[8] Kollegium am Schloß,undefined

[9] Bau IV,undefined

[10] Postfach 6980,undefined

[11] D-76128 Karlsruhe,undefined

[12] Germany,undefined

[13] Bureau d‘économie Théorique et Appliquée,undefined

[14] Université Louis-Pasteur,undefined

[15] B.P. 1032/F,undefined

[16] F-67070 Strasbourg Cedex,undefined

[17] France,undefined

[18] MKmetric Gesellschaft für Systemplanung mbH,undefined

[19] Durlacher Allee 49,undefined

[20] 76131 Karlsruhe,undefined

来源：

The Annals of Regional Science | 1997年 / 31卷

关键词：

Logit Model; Model Attribute; Mode Attribute; Socio Economic Variable; Demand Forecast;

D O I：

暂无

中图分类号：

学科分类号：

摘要：

We show that enriching logit mode choice model specification by mode attributes, socio economic variables and trip purpose characteristics significantly improves model quality, and that Box-Cox transformations applied to model attributes imply an asymmetry of the reaction curve, as well as more reasonable properties (diminishing marginal values of time savings, elasticities and values of time that differ among the modes) than those of the linear logit model. Moreover, the model yielded very different high speed rail market shares for Germany than results obtained with the usual linear utility functions.

引用

页码：99 / 120

页数：21

共 4 条

[1] A disaggregate Box-Cox Logit mode choice model of intercity passenger travel in Germany and its implications for high-speed rail demand forecasts
Mandel, B
Gaudry, M
Rothengatter, W
[J]. ANNALS OF REGIONAL SCIENCE, 1997, 31 (02): : 99 - 120
[2] A study on nested logit mode choice model for intercity high-speed rail system with combined RP/SP data
Yao, EJ
Morikawa, T
Kurauchi, S
Tokida, T
[J]. TRAFFIC AND TRANSPORTATION STUDIES, VOLS 1 AND 2, PROCEEDINGS, 2002, : 612 - 619
[3] Accommodating heterogeneity and heteroscedasticity in intercity travel mode choice model - Formulation and application to HoNam, South Korea, high-speed rail demand analysis
Lee, JH
Chon, KS
Park, C
[J]. TRAVEL DEMAND AND LAND USE 2004, 2004, (1898): : 69 - 78
[4] Latent class nested logit model for analyzing high-speed rail access mode choice
Wen, Chieh-Hua
Wang, Wei-Chung
Fu, Chiang
[J]. TRANSPORTATION RESEARCH PART E-LOGISTICS AND TRANSPORTATION REVIEW, 2012, 48 (02) : 545 - 554

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